Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000138 0.000154 0.000171 0.000190 0.000211 0.000234 0.000261
2025-10-12 0.000117 0.000139 0.000163 0.000193 0.000228 0.000268 0.000319
2025-10-19 0.000101 0.000126 0.000155 0.000193 0.000240 0.000298 0.000373
2025-10-26 0.000088 0.000114 0.000148 0.000192 0.000250 0.000324 0.000426
2025-11-02 0.000078 0.000105 0.000141 0.000191 0.000260 0.000350 0.000480
2025-11-09 0.000070 0.000098 0.000136 0.000191 0.000269 0.000377 0.000536
2025-11-16 0.000063 0.000091 0.000130 0.000189 0.000275 0.000397 0.000586
2025-11-23 0.000057 0.000085 0.000126 0.000188 0.000283 0.000422 0.000643
2025-11-30 0.000053 0.000081 0.000122 0.000188 0.000292 0.000448 0.000705
2025-12-07 0.000048 0.000076 0.000118 0.000187 0.000297 0.000469 0.000759
2025-12-14 0.000045 0.000073 0.000116 0.000189 0.000308 0.000499 0.000830
2025-12-21 0.000042 0.000070 0.000114 0.000189 0.000317 0.000525 0.000898
2025-12-28 0.000039 0.000066 0.000110 0.000188 0.000323 0.000550 0.000967
2026-01-04 0.000037 0.000064 0.000110 0.000192 0.000338 0.000590 0.001065
2026-01-11 0.000035 0.000062 0.000108 0.000192 0.000347 0.000621 0.001151
2026-01-18 0.000032 0.000059 0.000105 0.000192 0.000354 0.000648 0.001231
2026-01-25 0.000030 0.000056 0.000102 0.000191 0.000360 0.000675 0.001314
2026-02-01 0.000029 0.000054 0.000100 0.000191 0.000368 0.000705 0.001405
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000051 0.000097 0.000188 0.000371 0.000726 0.001480
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000049 0.000094 0.000188 0.000378 0.000754 0.001572
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000047 0.000093 0.000188 0.000386 0.000787 0.001677
2026-03-01 0.000022 0.000045 0.000090 0.000186 0.000390 0.000810 0.001763
2026-03-08 0.000021 0.000044 0.000090 0.000188 0.000402 0.000851 0.001891